The future

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bodge
Posts: 31
Joined: Tue Dec 24, 2019 10:41 pm
Location: hull east yorkshire
Service details: national service 1952 - 1954
Real name: Malcolm Brown

The future

Post by bodge »

Got this from a friend.
All of the following will become reality in the next 10-20 years. Many of us won't see

the changes; but our kids and grandkids probably will.

1- Basic auto repair shops will disappear. Read on to know why.

2- A gas/diesel engine has 20,000 individual parts. An electrical motor has only 20 parts. Electric cars are sold with lifetime guarantees and are repaired only by dealers. It takes only 10 minutes to remove and
replace an electric motor.


3- Faulty electric motors are not repaired in the dealership but are sent to a regional repair shop that repairs them with robots

4- Your electric motor malfunction light goes on, and so you drive up to what looks like a car wash, and your car is towed through while you have a cup of coffee and out comes your car with a new electric motor!

5- Gas pumps will go away.

6- Street corners will have meters that dispense electricity.
Companies will install electrical recharging stations; in fact, they've already started in the developed world.


7- Smart major auto manufacturers have already designated money to start building new plants that build only electric cars.

8-Coal industries will go away. Gasoline/oil companies will go away. Drilling for oil will stop.

Say goodbye to OPEC! The middle east is in trouble.

9- Homes will produce and store more electrical energy during the day than they use, and will sell it back to the grid. The grid stores it and dispenses it to industries that are high electricity users. Has anybody seen the Tesla roof?

10- A baby of today will see personal cars only in museums. The FUTURE is approaching faster than most of us can handle.

11- In 1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all photo paper worldwide. Within just a few years, their business model disappeared and they went bankrupt. Who would have thought of that ever happening?

12- What happened to Kodak and Polaroid will happen in a lot of industries in the next 5-10 years ... and most of us don't see it coming.

13- Did you think in 1998 that 3 years later you'd NEVER take pictures on film again?

With today's smartphones, who even has a camera these days?

14- Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975. The first ones only had 10,000 pixels, but followed Moore's law – that technological capacity will DOUBLE every year. So as with all exponential technologies, it was
a disappointment for a time, before it became 'way superior' and became mainstream in only a few short years.


15- It will now happen again (but much faster) with Artificial Intelligence (AI), health,

autonomous and electric cars, education, 3D printing, agriculture and jobs.

16- Forget the book, "Future Shock"; welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution.

17- Software has disrupted and will continue to disrupt most traditional industries in the next 5-10 years.

18- UBER is just a software tool; it doesn't own any cars, and is now the biggest taxi company

in the world! Ask any taxi drivers if they saw that coming.

19- Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company in the world, although they don't own any

properties. Ask Hilton Hotels if they saw that coming.

20- Artificial Intelligence: Computers become exponentially better in understanding the world.

This year, a computer beat the best Go player in the world, 10 years earlier than expected.

21- In the USA, young lawyers already don't get jobs Because of computers, you can get legal advice (so

far for right now, the basic stuff) within seconds, with 90% accuracy – compared with 70% accuracy when done
by humans. So, if you study law, stop immediately. There will be 90% fewer lawyers in the

future, (what a thought!). Only omniscient specialists will remain.


22- Computer programs already help nurses diagnosing cancer, and the programs are 4 times more accurate than human nurses.

23- Facebook now has pattern recognition software that can recognize faces better than humans. In 2030, computers will become more intelligent than humans...COMPUTERS CAN BE UNPLUGGED...OR SHOT!

24- Autonomous cars: In 2018 the first self-driving cars are already here. In the next 2 years, the entire industry will start to be disrupted. You won't WANT to own a car anymore as you will call a car with your
phone; it will show up at your location and drive you to your destination.

25- You will not need to park it. You will pay only for the driven distance and you can be productive while driving. The very young children of today will never get a driver's license and will never own a car.

26- This will change our cities because we will need 90-95% fewer cars. We can transform former parking lots into green parks.

27- About 1.2 million people die each year in car accidents worldwide including distracted or drunk driving. We now have one accident every 60,000 miles. With autonomous driving that will drop to 1 accident in 6 million miles. That will save more than a million lives worldwide each year.

28- Some traditional car companies will doubtless go bankrupt. They will try the evolutionary approach and just build a better car, while tech companies (Tesla, Apple, Google) will do the revolutionary approach and build a computer on wheels.

29- Look at what Volvo is doing right now; no more internal combustion engines in their vehicles starting this year – with the 2019 models using all-electric or hybrid only, with the intent of phasing out the hybrid models.

30- Many engineers from Volkswagen and Audi are completely terrified of Tesla – and they should be. Look at all the companies offering all-electric vehicles. That was unheard of only a few years ago.

31- Insurance companies will have massive trouble because, without accidents, the costs will

become cheaper. Their auto insurance business model will disappear.

32- Real estate will change. If you can work from home (or from literally anywhere), people

will abandon their towers to move far away to more beautiful affordable locations..

33- Electric cars will become mainstream about 2030. Cities will be less noisy because all new cars will run on electricity.

34- Cities will have much cleaner air as well.

35- Electricity will become incredibly cheap and clean.

36- Solar production has been on an exponential curve for 30 years, but you can

now see the burgeoning impact. And it's just getting ramped up.

37- Fossil energy companies are desperately trying to limit access to the grid to prevent competition

from home solar installations; but, that simply cannot continue - technology will take care of that strategy.

38- Health: "Tricorder X" will be announced this year. There are companies which will build a medical device (called the Tricorder from Star Trek) that works with your phone – taking your retina scan, your blood sample, and you breathe into it. It then analyses 54 bio-markers that will identify nearly any disease There are dozens of phone apps out right now for health.


WELCOME TO TOMORROW! – some of it actually arrived a few years ago.
Bill Bentley
Posts: 381
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Service details: 1970 - JLR RAC, 14/20KH, Para Sqn RAC, 14/20KH, Hereford, 14/20KH, 2 Para, DLOY - 1990.
Real name: Martin William Lester Bentley (Bill) (Basha !)
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Re: The future

Post by Bill Bentley »

Hi Bodge,

that's a lot to swallow :|
As Brian said, always look on the bright side of life.

But they forgot to mention the side effects of much of this human innovation:

All batteries have to be built and to get the raw materials, once again Mother Nature gets raped. Tesla's batteries consume more energy in their production than a petrol driven car would use in roughly 6 years. But, the battery will only last 3 years or so :( . And thereafter they are dangerous waste :shock:.

How are the millions of workers that get laid off going to earn their existence ? Are the super rich going to pay us to do nothing ?
Like they do today :?.

The new medical care sounds great, everyone can become a hundred years, and more, old. And with so few car accidents and people believing that they have the right to breed like rats the worlds population will again double in a single lifetime. (since we were born the worlds population has doubled).

That means that poor old Mother Nature, who cant feed todays population will have to double her output to feed the verminous human population.

We humans already consume all of the resources that Mother Nature can reproduce within a year, within just over 6 months :o. We are already sawing at the branch upon which our survival depends and this technology will just speed up our arrival at the point at which the branch breaks :shock:.

The air we breathe is polluted, without corona, and masks, like in China, are here to stay.
The water we drink is utterly polluted with recycled medication that humans consume and expel into the drains. With the medication that we force feed our livestock and drench our crops with and use to kill insects and did anybody think that all of the 'cleaning agents used to protect against corona' just vanish when they get washed away :?:. Ah yes and the billions of masks used to protect us against corona are also landing in the seas to join the countless millions of tons of plastic and micro plastic waste.

Of course all of this crap poisons and kills marine life, fish and smaller creatures that we can't even see and have never even recognised that they are there; but they are essential to the stability of life in the water and on earth.

Welcome to the future :( :(
Arnie
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Location: Western Australia
Service details: Enlisted in 14th/20th King's Hussars on 2 Feb 1959.
Served Hohne and Rheindahlen 1959 - 1962
Libya 1962 Cyprus with C Sqn Dec 1963 - Feb 1964. Returned to Benghazi
then to Tripoli with B Sqn until Sep 1964. Left for Courses in NBC then to 7 Armoured Brigade till 1967.
Transferred to Intelligence Corps 67. First posting to Northern Ireland 67 - 70.
Singapore 70 - 71, Hong Kong 71 - 72. NI 72 - 74. NITAT (Northern Ireland Training and Advisory Team) 74 - 76. Berlin 76 - 79. Final Posting, Preston Int and Security Section. Stupidly Retired on 1 Feb 81, and emigrated to Australia.
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Re: The future

Post by Arnie »

Bodge and Bill, for Christ's sake SHUT up, I only have a few years to live and you 2 went ant spoiled that. No, seriously, I wasn't depressed, but I am now.
These articles should come with a warning, particularly if you get depressed easily! and I don't :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D

Arnie 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-) 8-)
Pinky
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Re: The future

Post by Pinky »

.......and I never thought for one minute the Berlin Wall would disappear!!
Short term benefit for myself is I have shares in Nickel Mountain in British Columbia to help build those electric car batteries.
Long term....I'll be dead and won't have to deal with the very crazy modern world changing before our eyes.
Crazy scenario: if many bought an electric car next year and they all live in blocks of flats or rows of terraced houses - where they gonna plug it in???
Logistically the electric future is a nightmare plus they'll always need a back up generator which will run on diesel.
Enough for now.
Pinky
Bill Bentley
Posts: 381
Joined: Thu Dec 26, 2019 6:40 pm
Location: Spain / Germany
Service details: 1970 - JLR RAC, 14/20KH, Para Sqn RAC, 14/20KH, Hereford, 14/20KH, 2 Para, DLOY - 1990.
Real name: Martin William Lester Bentley (Bill) (Basha !)
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Re: The future

Post by Bill Bentley »

Arnie and all,

a few years, that's looking on the bright side. Seriously, if I knew that I had a few years, I would get off my butt and do something useful. Being a pensioner on a motorcycle I'm glad with every 100 meters further :shock:. When I see a teenager in a car, they are immediately under suspicion of 'wanting to increase their own chances of getting a pension', by nudging me off the road' :lol: :lol:.

None of us old crocks have long to while, that's a test that you and I shall pass with bravura, when the time comes. It's not that we die, but how we die and what we leave behind us that counts :!:.

My moaning is all about what we leave behind for our kin folk. In a poisoned wasteland they won't have much of a chance, no matter how hard they try. Surely it is our duty to do what we can to protect the environment in which they shall have to live. It IS all about the birds and the bees, the trees and the seas and the air they shall have to breathe.

The wise David Attenborough, many years ago, controversially said: 'There is hardly a problem on this planet that could not be solved with half as many people'. (or words to that effect). In our lifetime the human population has doubled :o :o. And with this detail, all of our problems too.

Almost everything that we do, in the name of humanity, is wrong. We feed the hungry in Africa and other unsustainable regions and these people become dependant upon charity. We force aged, injured and ill people to survive, often against their own will, and so increase the burden. We practice producing test tube babies and operating on the hearts of unborn children to increase the population and so the burden. We try to rehabilitate evil perverted criminals or give them 1,000 year jail sentences, and in this pandemic we actually increase the destruction of micro organisms with millions of gallons of anti viral chemicals and plastic waste, it's all utterly nuts and simply increases the burden upon Mother Nature.

Those providing this charity have to work harder and longer and demand ever more of Mother Nature to feed those, and our own, hungry mouths.
This is not an issue of racism or kindness it is an issue of regional sustainability and long term survival of the human species.

Mother Nature intended that when too many are on unsuitable territory, there should be a famine or a flood, problem solved ! Hard but fair ! This happens all the time to birds and insects, to fish and bacteria, it is natures way.
We are rapidly reaching that point where Mother Nature will do her own thing and then ALL people will suffer, is that the wise alternative ?

And, yes, I am still trying in my own little way to give all of our children a fighting chance.
Pinky
Posts: 425
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Re: The future

Post by Pinky »

Howdy,
Being the optimistic chap I am, here's hoping we all get vaccinated sooner than later (with NO side effects).
Hoping we get on with our lives, travel, party and enjoy life, hoping 2021 is excellent.
HUSSAR to you all.
Pinky
Syd Jones
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Service details: Joined the Regiment in June '52 at Haig Lines, Crookham, Hants, initially in to Recce Troop. Regiment moved to Sabratha in November '52, where Recce Troop disbanded. joined 4th. troop 'A' sqdn. later SHQ troop. Demobbed in '54 & transferred to Staffs. Yeomanry, finally discharged in '56.
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Re: The future

Post by Syd Jones »

Hey Bodge! Don't tell me, let me guess...It's being so cheerful that keeps you going? Cheers, Syd.
Pinky
Posts: 425
Joined: Thu Dec 26, 2019 11:31 am
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Re: The future

Post by Pinky »

Got my first Covid A-Z vaccine yesterday, feeling better already !!
Pinky
Syd Jones
Posts: 21
Joined: Tue Mar 17, 2020 1:01 pm
Location: Catcott, Somerset
Service details: Joined the Regiment in June '52 at Haig Lines, Crookham, Hants, initially in to Recce Troop. Regiment moved to Sabratha in November '52, where Recce Troop disbanded. joined 4th. troop 'A' sqdn. later SHQ troop. Demobbed in '54 & transferred to Staffs. Yeomanry, finally discharged in '56.
Real name:
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Re: The future

Post by Syd Jones »

Don't tell me Malc. let me guess...It's being so cheerful that keeps you going! Cheers, Syd.
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